Abstract
We identify a comprehensive list of thirty-eight characteristics for predicting cross-sectional FX options returns. We find that three factors - long-term straddle momentum, implied volatility, and illiquidity - can generate economically and statistically significant risk premia not explained by other return predictors. Meanwhile, the predictability of the other characteristics becomes insignificant after accounting for the FX option three-factor model. The significance of the three factors is confirmed through a series of robustness tests covering different data sources, alternative options strategies, diversification effects, bootstrapping, and omitting crisis years.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Article number | rfae002 |
Pages (from-to) | 897-944 |
Number of pages | 48 |
Journal | Review of Finance |
Volume | 28 |
Issue number | 3 |
Early online date | 18 Jan 2024 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 May 2024 |