Deep learning volatility: a deep neural network perspective on pricing and calibration in (rough) volatility models

Blanka Horvath*, Aitor Muguruza, Mehdi Tomas

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

49 Citations (Scopus)
459 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

We present a neural network-based calibration method that performs the calibration task within a few milliseconds for the full implied volatility surface. The framework is consistently applicable throughout a range of volatility models—including second-generation stochastic volatility models and the rough volatility family—and a range of derivative contracts. Neural networks in this work are used in an off-line approximation of complex pricing functions, which are difficult to represent or time-consuming to evaluate by other means. The form in which information from available data is extracted and used influences network performance: The grid-based algorithm used for calibration is inspired by representing the implied volatility and option prices as a collection of pixels. We highlight how this perspective opens new horizons for quantitative modelling. The calibration bottleneck posed by a slow pricing of derivative contracts is lifted, and stochastic volatility models (classical and rough) can be handled in great generality as the framework also allows taking the forward variance curve as an input. We demonstrate the calibration performance both on simulated and historical data, on different derivative contracts and on a number of example models of increasing complexity, and also showcase some of the potentials of this approach towards model recognition. The algorithm and examples are provided in the Github repository GitHub: NN-StochVol-Calibrations.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)11-27
Number of pages17
JournalQuantitative Finance
Volume21
Issue number1
Early online date26 Oct 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jan 2021

Keywords

  • Accurate price approximation
  • Calibration
  • Machine learning
  • Model assessment
  • Monte Carlo
  • Rough volatility
  • Volatility modelling
  • Volterra process

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Deep learning volatility: a deep neural network perspective on pricing and calibration in (rough) volatility models'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this