Postprocessing of MCMC

Leah F. South*, Marina Riabiz, Onur Teymur, Chris J. Oates

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Markov chain Monte Carlo is the engine of modern Bayesian statistics, being used to approximate the posterior and derived quantities of interest. Despite this, the issue of how the output from a Markov chain is postprocessed and reported is often overlooked. Convergence diagnostics can be used to control bias via burn-in removal, but these do not account for (common) situations where a limited computational budget engenders a bias-variance trade-off. The aim of this article is to review state-of-The-Art techniques for postprocessing Markov chain output. Our review covers methods based on discrepancy minimization, which directly address the bias-variance trade-off, as well as general-purpose control variate methods for approximating expected quantities of interest.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)529-555
Number of pages27
JournalAnnual Review of Statistics and Its Application
Volume9
Early online date29 Nov 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2022

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